危 wēi danger

Adam D’Angelo quit his position as CTO of Facebook to create Quora, an online knowledge market that aggregates questions and answers on various topics and allows users to collaborate on them.  He explained at the time: “Q & A is one of those areas on the internet where there are a lot of sites, but no one had come along and built something that was really good yet.” He’s right that Q&A has been around for a long time, with sites such Answers.com and Yahoo! Answers both receiving over 40 million unique visitors a month.  In addition there are more specific solutions such as Stack Overflow (for professional and amateur programmers) which has 250,000 users. Surely Quora would struggle to differentiate?

机 jī opportunity

On the contrary, Quora has had continued strong growth: since receiving funding from Benchmark Capital last year (valuing the start-up at a rumored $86 million) it has grown to nearly 500k users. This is all the more interesting because none of its components are revolutionary, instead the Quora team seems to have done an excellent job of spotting and tapping into emergent online behaviours and trends. Robert Scoble wrote this great post on why he thinks Quora is the future of blogging, in it he references some of the things that Quora learned from other sites, for example:

1. Quora learned from Twitter – if you ask your social network a question they’ll answer it.  Twitter also taught us that alerts when new people follow you or answer questions you follow are a great way to pull users back to the site
2. It learned from Digg – a voting mechanism (in which you can vote an answer up or down) enables you to have the best quality answers rise to the top
3. It learned from Facebook – if you build a news feed that pushes new items to the user their average time on site and page views increase
4. It learned from the best apps – we all want a sense of community instantly so it imports yours from Twitter
5. It learned from RSS readers – curation is a valuable service so it allows users to follow topics in addition to people
6. It learned from blogs about how to do great SEO – it’s amazing how often Quora shows up at the top of Google searches
7. It learned from instant messaging clients – it shows who is answering a question while they are answering it
8. It learned from Wikipedia – people are willing to suggest edits and the whole process can be predominantly user-administered

Although none of these features are necessarily groundbreaking the combination is completely novel. Often innovations are just a recombination of existing features to create a new offer – in this case the Quora founders call their offer “reverse-blogging”. In other words, it’s a content system that starts with an interested audience and then fills in the content to serve that audience. The question is whether Quora can maintain the quality of answer as it grows beyond its Silicon Valley early adopters – when the numbers of questions outstrip the capacity of the informed to answer them.  But that’s a whole other blog post.

How About…

• When launching a new venture – look for emergent trends in adjacent industries?
• What features can you recombine to create a completely new offer?

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危 wēi  danger

MIT-grad Drew Houston was frustrated with how often he forgot his USB drive.  He was sure that there was a better solution, probably a Web-based file hosting service but he couldn’t find one available so he founded Dropbox with a fellow MIT-Grad to build it.  Shortly after receiving seed financing from Y-Combinator in 2007 they released a short video explaining their plans on Hacker News – the video received 1200 Diggs and Houston realised that they must be onto something.  They built the product (which is worth checking out for its wonderfully simple UI here) and officially launched at 2008′s TechCrunch50, an annual technology conference.  Initial users loved the product so the next logical step seemed to be to advertise and they launched an Adwords affiliate programme.  The results were shockingly poor – customer acquisition cost proved to be $233-388 (for a $99 product).  Perhaps the company’s VC backed competitors were overspending and the company would never be able to compete?

机 jī opportunity

The team interpreted the situation differently – they didn’t see the cost of Adwords advertising as the problem, they concluded that their challenge was that consumers don’t search for problems that they don’t know they have.  In other words the team needed to find a way to create demand, not harvest it.  The team knew that users that were referred to the product invariably loved it so they developed a system to incentivise the referral process (gifting both the referrer and the new users free memory – a 2-sided incentive).  The approach worked: user numbers from Sept 2008 to Jan 2010 have increased from 100k to 4m, and 35% of these new users joined directly from the referral programme.

How About…

• Questioning whether your aim is to create or harvest demand?
• Using 2-sided incentives to drive sales?

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I like the low-fi introductory video (the only information on their homepage), it reflects the team’s humility and dives straight into the benefit using an analogous situation: