July 20, 2010

59) Levi’s

危 wēi  danger

I have always been slightly skeptical of established US & European fashion brands’ ability to succeed in emerging markets, after all the average income per person in China is around $3,500 and in India it’s $1,000.  Counterfeiting is rife and unlike super-premium brands they seem particularly vulnerable to low end disruption.  The Indian jeans market is no exception – home-grown companies such as Arvind Mills have addressed the low end market with huge success.  The company, founded in 1931, grew to be the fourth largest producer of denim for wholesale over the course of the following 60 years. It realized that India’s poorest couldn’t afford jeans and launched its own label – Ruf n Tuf – in 1995 to address the opportunity.  Its approach was to focus on the Indian consumers at ‘the bottom of the pyramid’, completely redesigning its business model with an emphasis on value.  Arvind Mills succeeded by selling a jeans kit to local tailors for $6/pair – minimal kit variants kept manufacturing costs low and the local tailors quickly became an effective marketing channel.   Subsequently the company has continued to innovate, adopting a full franchisee system for the manufacture and distribution of Ruf and Tuf jeans in 1995.

Surely the established jeans companies of the developed world, including Levi’s (the inventor of jeans) will be unable to service the ‘bottom of the pyramid’ and will be unable to compete, perpetually being disrupted by companies like Arvind Mills and being undermined by counterfeiting?

机 jī opportunity

Although the 1994 entry of Levi’s in India received a tepid response its fortunes have improved recently – it banks heavily on celebrity endorsement, product innovation and a superior retail experience to drive growth.  Most recently it has adopted an innovative “pay as you wear” model in India – the company offers cash-strapped Indians the opportunity to buy their jeans in three interest-free installments.  “A monthly installment scheme makes it easier for people to build their wardrobe with a premium brand like ours” says Shumone Chatterjee, MD of Levi’s in India.  The approach is smart – it enables more of India’s fashion conscious consumers to wear the Levi’s brand without eroding its brand equity or dropping its price points – although Levi’s will never completely straddle the pyramid it might manage to straddle a few more levels…

How About…

  • Defending your market position from disruptors using creative pricing?
  • Examining straddling the pyramid in emerging markets?
  • Empowering another part of the value chain to finish your products and services?

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July 13, 2010

58) Dropbox

危 wēi  danger

MIT-grad Drew Houston was frustrated with how often he forgot his USB drive.  He was sure that there was a better solution, probably a Web-based file hosting service but he couldn’t find one available so he founded Dropbox with a fellow MIT-Grad to build it.  Shortly after receiving seed financing from Y-Combinator in 2007 they released a short video explaining their plans on Hacker News – the video received 1200 Diggs and Houston realised that they must be onto something.  They built the product (which is worth checking out for its wonderfully simple UI here) and officially launched at 2008’s TechCrunch50, an annual technology conference.  Initial users loved the product so the next logical step seemed to be to advertise and they launched an Adwords affiliate programme.  The results were shockingly poor – customer acquisition cost proved to be $233-388 (for a $99 product).  Perhaps the company’s VC backed competitors were overspending and the company would never be able to compete?

机 jī opportunity

The team interpreted the situation differently – they didn’t see the cost of Adwords advertising as the problem, they concluded that their challenge was that consumers don’t search for problems that they don’t know they have.  In other words the team needed to find a way to create demand, not harvest it.  The team knew that users that were referred to the product invariably loved it so they developed a system to incentivise the referral process (gifting both the referrer and the new users free memory – a 2-sided incentive).  The approach worked: user numbers from Sept 2008 to Jan 2010 have increased from 100k to 4m, and 35% of these new users joined directly from the referral programme.

How About…

  • Questioning whether your aim is to create or harvest demand?
  • Using 2-sided incentives to drive sales?

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I like the low-fi introductory video (the only information on their homepage), it reflects the team’s humility and dives straight into the benefit using an analogous situation:

July 1, 2010

57) Google Image Labeler

危 wēi  danger

Google owes much of its success to its phenomenal search algorithm, invented by Larry Page and Sergey Brin while they were attending Stanford University as Ph.D. candidates.

Broadly, Google search works in three distinct parts:

  • Googlebot, a web crawler finds and fetches web pages.
  • An indexer sorts every word on every page and stores the resulting index of words in a huge database.
  • The query processor compares your search query to the index and uses the algorithm to recommend documents that it considers most relevant.

Google harnesses a distributed network of thousands of computers to parallel process this information.   This approach has proven incredibly effective, with perhaps one major exception: image search.  Image search is less reliable because the indexer mines pages for words and therefore only labels images based on their context (and most images on the web are untagged).  Many companies have tried to build software to interpret images but it’s tough to do  – that’s why identifying unclear letters remains one of the last ways of evidencing that we are in fact human, not machine.

Proof you’re [sort of] smarter than machine:

Although there is clear value in being able to search for images accurately, even Google couldn’t afford to have people complete the labour-intensive task of tagging images one by one.

机 jī opportunity

Google asked a different question  - how can we have consumers do this for free?  Answer: make it a game.  Google licensed ESP gaming technology, originally conceived by Luis von Ahn of Carnegie Mellon University and launched Google Image Labeler in 2006 as a beta.

In the game users are paired with another and they compete in tagging images.  The game is great fun: some users reportedly play over 40 hours a week.  The game has enabled the company to ensure that its keywords are matched to correct images, building an accurate database for Google Image Search.

Gaming has great potential for good, other recent examples include Matchin (helping build a database of the web’s most attractive pictures) and Solarstormwatch (helping astronomers spot explosions on the Sun to give astronauts an early warning if dangerous solar radiation is headed their way)

How About…

  • Developing a game to harness consumer power economically?
  • Applying gaming ideas & principles to your existing offer?

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Here’s a screenshot from the game:

June 17, 2010

56) In-N-Out Burger

危 wēi  danger

In-N-Out burger is a chain of fast-food restaurants founded in 1948 in California.  The brand became famous for its limited menu and simple strategy that remains in use today: “Give customers the freshest, highest quality foods you can buy and provide them with friendly service in a sparkling clean environment.”  While scaling to 240 stores the company has stayed true to its vision – rejecting calls to franchise, leaving the simple menu unchanged and ensuring that it rewards its staff better than its competitors (it is one of the few fast food chains that pays more than state and federally-mandated minimum wage guidelines). And, to maintain freshness its locations are all within one day’s drive from its Baldwin Park distribution center. It’s great at what it does as evidenced by it consistently topping polls like this Zagat report. Given its rejection of growth through franchising and its inability to expand too far from its distribution center I have always thought its tiny menu might be its downfall. Surely its fans would become bored of the offer?

机 jī opportunity

My fears were allayed when traveling with a colleague recently.  On a road trip we visited In-N-Out, after choosing and ordering (very quickly given the lack of choice) I noticed that he ordered ‘off-menu’.  It turns out that In-N-Out has a ‘secret menu’ – this struck me as pretty smart because it allows its fans to make a wider choice and it drives word of mouth marketing.  I looked it up on the web and it turns out it’s not even that secret: when celebrity chef Gordon Ramsay appeared on The Hour, a Canadian TV talk show, he chose an animal style In-N-Out burger to be his “death-row” last meal.

How About…

  • Stripping your offer to its simplest version?
  • Developing a ‘secret’ offer for your best customers, making them feel privileged and deepening their affinity of your brand?

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and, just in case you’re interested (and out of the loop like me) here are some of the not-so-secret menu items:

June 10, 2010

55) ITC Limited (eChoupals)

危 wēi  danger

As I outlined in a post last year the Indian agricultural market is tough.  Farm ownership tends to be heavily fragmented, the infrastructure is often poor and historically the supply chain has been clogged by middlemen. This makes life difficult for both farmers and the buyers.  For example, often farmers would have to travel for days to a market with no knowledge of current prices, once there the exploitative middlemen could pay below the market rate and refuse to pay any premium for quality.  It has been estimated that farmers were losing up to 60% of the value of their crop as a result.  This in turn disincentivised the farmers from improving their crop quality and made supply to the industry’s big buyers unpredictable.  Large food buyers, such as ITC Limited (an Indian conglomerate), would surely have to accept this status-quo?

机 jī opportunity

No, to the contrary ITC has harnessed technology to overcome these structural problems by investing in internet kiosks in rural villages.  The kiosks, named eChoupals, enable the farmers to sell direct to ITC at an agreed price, give access to best practices and enable them to place orders for agricultural inputs such as seeds and fertilizers.  In order to instill trust in the system ITC trains a local farmer to run the system and places it in their house – on average each serves 600 farmers in the surrounding ten villages.  To ensure that they remain incentivised the sanchalaks receive a small service fee.  Even after this service fee it is estimated that farmers’ profits have increased by more than a third and ITCs costs have reduced. The conglomerate plans to scale up to 20,000 eChoupals by 2012 (from 6,500 today) potentially servicing 15 million farmers.

How About…

  • Harnessing technology to disintermediate inefficient value chains?
  • Empowering local talent to assist in supporting your customers?

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